Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 13.356090 15.616737 18.084967 20.972260 24.249055 27.844113 32.078350
2025-04-27 10.200799 13.447003 17.357199 22.374278 28.596682 36.013498 45.470985
2025-05-04 8.038126 11.669944 16.398681 22.914713 31.554249 42.498684 57.274307
2025-05-11 6.405587 10.116695 15.283262 22.843614 33.435868 47.532650 67.450389
2025-05-18 5.135799 8.763598 14.130504 22.415968 34.598088 51.515221 76.361416
2025-05-25 4.165206 7.643940 13.089359 21.917866 35.474915 55.026218 84.733905
2025-06-01 3.406218 6.702779 12.146830 21.385815 36.152017 58.191050 92.718411
2025-06-08 2.704419 5.714652 10.961858 20.280739 35.770501 59.672231 98.233481
2025-06-15 2.448727 5.478735 10.991984 21.138258 38.523448 66.043461 111.444198
2025-06-22 2.167422 5.138289 10.781653 21.540506 40.532967 71.352877 123.305272
2025-06-29 1.828913 4.615106 10.156602 21.122142 41.091284 74.339521 131.640550
2025-07-06 1.498696 4.039828 9.342769 20.247706 40.747847 75.779687 137.513734
2025-07-13 1.387379 3.955261 9.534853 21.381060 44.240283 84.140813 155.733998
2025-07-20 1.292636 3.897416 9.788040 22.692101 48.232452 93.733612 176.799035
2025-07-27 1.146171 3.677674 9.659946 23.218540 50.798445 101.019821 194.403295
2025-08-03 0.980299 3.364347 9.269356 23.142996 52.183020 106.277928 208.790226
2025-08-10 0.820096 3.021535 8.748052 22.709879 52.799348 110.150956 220.925922
2025-08-17 0.682827 2.704607 8.229768 22.206026 53.203945 113.626992 232.513366
2025-08-24 0.566785 2.416680 7.729158 21.667913 53.467591 116.824163 243.738150
2025-08-31 0.448404 2.078810 7.028299 20.550217 52.365994 117.276806 249.842974
2025-09-07 0.416200 2.036693 7.133502 21.417534 55.681612 126.625534 273.254735
2025-09-14 0.372785 1.938437 7.060535 21.824359 57.994990 134.096832 293.435745
2025-09-21 0.312522 1.750863 6.686642 21.401234 58.368769 137.636661 306.153588